Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 15

Data Skrive

Junior Caminero and the Tampa Bay Rays will play Wilyer Abreu and the Boston Red Sox at George M. Steinbrenner Field in the first of a three-game series, Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET. The favored Rays have -125 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Red Sox, who are listed at +106. Tampa Bay is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the contest.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Rays-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, April 15, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
Where: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida
How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and NESN

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Rays -125 +106 8.5 -124 +104 -1.5 +158 -189

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Rays 5, Red Sox 4
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Rays 52%, Red Sox 48%

Rays vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

The Rays have entered the game as favorites 11 times this season and won six, or 54.5%, of those games.
Tampa Bay has entered nine games this season favored by -125 or more and is 6-3 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
The Red Sox have been victorious in one of the four contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Boston has won one of three games when listed as at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays have a 2-4 record across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
The Rays have put together a 2-8-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 3-7 Runs Per Game 3.8 HR 11 ERA 4.54 K/9 8.7

Rays Player Insights

Jonathan Aranda is hitting .395 with six doubles, two home runs and five walks.
Aranda has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with a double, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
Caminero has put his power on display as he leads his team with three home runs with a team-leading .280 batting average.
Caminero is 38th in homers and 93rd in RBI among all batters in MLB.
Caminero has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a double, two home runs, a walk and four RBI.
Kameron Misner is hitting .361 with four doubles, a triple, a home run and two walks.
Misner will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .357 with a double, a triple, two walks and two RBI.
Yandy Diaz has three doubles, two home runs and three walks while batting .210.
Diaz has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, two home runs, a walk and two RBI.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

Sportsbooks have not installed the Red Sox as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Red Sox have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 5-5 Runs Per Game 5.0 HR 5 ERA 3.71 K/9 8.5

Red Sox Player Insights

Abreu leads the lineup with a batting average of .340, while leading the Red Sox in home runs, with three and runs batted in with 12.
Abreu’s home run total places him 38th in the majors, and he ranks 16th in RBI.
Alex Bregman has put up 12 runs batted in to lead his team.
Bregman is 74th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 16th in RBI.
Kristian Campbell is hitting .309 with four doubles, two home runs and 10 walks.
Trevor Story has swatted a team-leading three long balls.