Padres vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 6

Data Skrive

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees square off against Luis Arraez and the San Diego Padres on Tuesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. The Padres are -112 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Yankees (-107). San Diego is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +148 odds). The total is 8 runs for this contest (with -117 odds to go over and -102 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Yankees game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Check out the best moments from the Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees on Sunday, May 4th.

Padres vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, May 6, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
How to watch on TV: TBS, YES, and SDPA

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Padres -112 -107 8 -117 -102 -1.5 +148 -178

Padres vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Padres 4
Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Yankees 48%

Padres vs. Yankees Betting Insights

The Padres have entered the game as favorites 17 times this season and won 13, or 76.5%, of those games.
This season San Diego has won 13 of its 17 games, or 76.5%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
The Yankees have been victorious in one of the six contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, New York has been a moneyline underdog of -112 or longer five times, losing every contest.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Padres combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total three times.
The Padres’ record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 6-4 Runs Per Game 3.2 HR 6 ERA 2.43 K/9 9.8

Padres Player Insights

Fernando Tatis Jr. has racked up a team-high batting average of .328, and paces the Padres in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (18).
Tatis’ home runs rank him 17th in the majors, and he ranks 47th in RBI.
Manny Machado is batting .295 with 11 doubles, three home runs and 13 walks.
Machado is 129th in home runs and 103rd in RBI in the bigs.
Machado enters this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .421 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
Arraez is hitting .306 with four doubles, a triple, three home runs and five walks.
Xander Bogaerts is hitting .243 with nine doubles, a home run and 15 walks.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and lost both contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Yankees are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 5-5 Runs Per Game 5.5 HR 16 ERA 2.66 K/9 9.2

Yankees Player Insights

Judge paces the Yankees with 11 home runs and 33 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .423.
Judge ranks second in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Judge has collected a hit in 14 straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .450 with two doubles, two triples, four home runs, five walks and eight RBI.
Paul Goldschmidt is batting .349 with eight doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.
Goldschmidt is currently 129th in home runs and 62nd in RBI in the big leagues.
Ben Rice has five doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 14 walks while hitting .255.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .233 with 10 doubles, five home runs and 15 walks.

Check out the best moments from the Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees on Sunday, May 4th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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