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The Dallas Mavericks will attempt to salvage a disappointing season as they try to win their 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament game against the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. The Mavs were 39-43 in the regular season but crushed the Kings on the road on Wednesday, 120-106, to put themselves one win from a first-round playoff berth. The Grizzlies went 48-34 in the regular season before falling in a close game to the Warriors on Tuesday, 121-116. Dallas won the first matchup between these teams before losing the final three in 2024-25, including a 132-97 Memphis win in Sunday’s regular season finale. Dallas, which is the 10-seed in the West, is attempting to become the first 10-seed to ever qualify for the NBA Playoffs by advancing from the play-in.
Tipoff is set for 9:30 p.m. ET from the FedExForum in Memphis, Tenn., where the home team is 26-15, while Dallas is 17-25 on the road. The Grizzlies are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Mavericks vs. Grizzlies odds on DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under is 220.5 points. Memphis is at -234 on the money line (risk $234 to win $100), while Dallas is at +192 (risk $100 to win $192). Before entering any Grizzlies vs. Mavericks picks for the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters the 2025 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 156-115 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Dallas vs. Memphis. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Mavericks:
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks spread: Grizzlies -5.5 on DraftKings
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks over/under: 220.5 points
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks money line: Grizzlies -234, Mavericks +192
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks streaming: FuboTV (try for free)
Why the Mavericks can cover
When healthy, forward Davis (probable) continues to show why he’s one of the top big men in the league. In Wednesday’s win in Sacramento, Davis scored 27 points and grabbed nine rebounds, leading Dallas to a comfortable victory. As the Mavericks’ centerpiece of the controversial Luka Doncic trade on February 1st, Davis has scored 23 or more points in four of his last five games and will be tasked with another heavy workload on Friday.
Veteran guard Klay Thompson was excellent against Sacramento, making five of seven 3-pointers en route to a 23-point performance. Reserve guard Brandon Williams was a surprise performer on Wednesday, scoring 17 points in 18 minutes, and could be in for a larger role on Friday night. See which team to pick here.
Why the Grizzlies can cover
Guard Morant is listed as questionable for for Friday night’s contest due to an ankle injury, but it’s hard to imagine him not suiting up with Memphis’ season on the line. In Tuesday night’s loss in Golden State, Morant scored 22 points to go along with three assists and three rebounds. In two games against the Mavericks, Morant has averaged 31 points, six assists, and three rebounds this season.
Forwards Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. will have to step up for the Grizzlies to successfully defend their home court. Bane had 30 points on 11 of 21 shooting against the Warriors, while Jackson had 18 points in the defeat. Rookie first-round pick Zach Edey will be tasked with slowing down Davis, but enters off a dominant 14-point, 17-rebound performance in his last contest. Since April 1st, Edey is averaging more than 16 rebounds per game across seven appearances. See which team to pick here.
How to make Mavericks vs. Grizzlies picks
The model has simulated Mavericks vs. Grizzlies 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over the total, projecting 229 points, and it also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Grizzlies vs. Mavs, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavs vs. Grizzlies spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 156-115 roll on top-rated NBA picks since last season, and find out.
