Diamondbacks vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 26

Data Skrive

Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves will take the field on Saturday at Chase Field against Merrill Kelly, who is expected to start for the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.m. ET for the first game of a three-game series. The favored Diamondbacks have -120 moneyline odds against the underdog Braves, who are listed at +101. Arizona is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9.5 runs for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Diamondbacks vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, April 26, 2025 at 8:10 p.m. ET
Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
How to watch on TV: ARID and FDSSO

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Diamondbacks -120 +101 9.5 -105 -115 -1.5 +162 -196

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Prediction

Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Braves 3
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 58%, Braves 42%

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Betting Insights

This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 20 times and won 11, or 55%, of those games.
Arizona has a record of 8-8 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
The Braves have been victorious in one of the seven contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Atlanta has won one of seven games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they went 5-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups — all had a set run total — the Diamondbacks and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
The Diamondbacks’ ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 6-4 Runs Per Game 5.8 HR 18 ERA 3.97 K/9 10.3

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll has gone yard nine times in the 2025 campaign while knocking in 23 runs, both totals that lead the Diamondbacks.
Carroll’s home runs put him first in MLB, and he ranks fifth in RBI.
Carroll has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with a double, three home runs, three walks and five RBI.
Josh Naylor is batting .323 with six doubles, four home runs and 12 walks.
Including all MLB hitters, Naylor is 49th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
Geraldo Perdomo is batting .256 with four doubles, three home runs and 17 walks.
Pavin Smith’s .365 batting average paces his team.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

Bookmakers have not installed the Braves as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
The Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Braves are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 6-4 Runs Per Game 4.6 HR 17 ERA 4.66 K/9 7.9

Braves Player Insights

Marcell Ozuna paces the Braves with a .318 batting average.
In all of MLB, Ozuna is 49th in homers and 142nd in RBI.
Olson has four doubles, four home runs and 17 walks while batting .238.
Olson is 49th in homers and 32nd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Ozhaino Jurdy Jiandro Albies is hitting .234 with three doubles, four home runs and nine walks.
Austin Riley paces the Braves with six home runs and runs batted in, driving in 16.