The Mets (22-13) cap off their road trip with a visit to Arizona for three against the Diamondbacks (18-16). The Mets dropped two of three to the D’Backs at Citi Field last week, but the Mets typically fare pretty well at Chase Field. The Mets are 9-3 in Arizona dating back to the 2021 season, including winning two of three last season and five of their last six.
The Mets are coming off dropping two of three to the Cardinals over the weekend. On Friday, the Mets got back in the ‘W’ column with a 9-3 victory against St. Louis to kick off the series. The Mets trailed 3-2 heading into the fifth but erupted for four runs, including a two-run blast from Pete Alonso that proved to put the Mets ahead for good. The Mets got a solo home run later in the game from Brandon Nimmo, and got three hits from Francisco Alvarez, who drove in four runs.
After a Saturday rain out, the Mets were swept in a Sunday doubleheader, marking only the fourth time they’ve lost both games of a doubleheader in their last 34 tries. Blade Tidwell made his major league debut in the first game and struggled as the Mets fell 6-5. Anecdotally, it turned out to be the 16th consecutive loss for the Mets when playing their 34th game of that given season. Tidwell allowed six runs, which broke the Mets’ NL-record streak of 33 straight games where a starting pitcher allowed four runs or fewer to begin a season. The Mets trailed 6-2 when they mounted a comeback, and Francisco Lindor’s two-run single got the Mets to within one in the eighth. After Juan Soto walked to load the bases, Alonso and Brandon Nimmo were retired to end the comeback attempt.
The Mets lost their second Sunday game, dropping the nightcap 5-4. Tylor Megill was ineffective as he slogged through his start, allowing four runs in five innings while walking three. The Mets got all of their offense in a four-run third, which gave them a brief lead. Alonso drove in the first run, Starling Marte put the Mets ahead with a two-run single, and Alvarez extended the lead. After St. Louis tied it in the bottom half of that frame, the game remained knotted until Max Kranick allowed a run in the bottom of the sixth, which proved to be the game winner.
The series was annoying from a fan perspective, but the Mets were especially unlucky in the second game. In the same inning, Soto was robbed of a three-run home run, and the Mets were later robbed of a potential bases-clearing double. The Mets did leave 22 on base between the two Sunday losses, which is not a great formula for success. However, the Mets have also lost a majority of their games by one or two runs this year and, while that means nothing in the standings, it shows that the Mets are in almost every single game, and a break here or there could flip the result of a handful of losses so far.
The Diamondbacks are coming off a weekend in which they dropped two of three to the Phillies. They lost the first two games and blew a six-run lead on Sunday before rallying for three runs in the tenth to reclaim the lead for good.
Monday, May 5: Griffin Canning vs. Ryne Nelson, 9:40 PM EDT on SNY
Canning continues to be a bright spot for New York, as he picked up his fourth consecutive win his last time out—it doesn’t hurt when your team can drop 19 runs on the opponent. He hurled five shutout innings in the victory, scattering four hits and three walks while striking out five batters. The Mets have now won five straight Canning starts since he picked up a loss that opening weekend in Houston. He is currently 20th among NL starters in K% (23.5%) but he also has the third-worst BB% (10.6%), right behind Fedde, so the walks remain a thing he has to watch out for.
Nelson (2025): 17.0 IP, 20 K, 4 BB, 1 HR, 5.82 ERA, 2.19 FIP, 139 ERA-
Nelson will make his first start of 2025 after appearing seven times as a reliever for Arizona. Nelson last pitched against the Mets, incidentally, eating up the final four innings of the Diamondbacks’ loss to New York on April 29. In that outing, he didn’t allow a hit while walking two and striking out three, which was a big boost to the D’Backs after Eduardo Rodriguez could only last four innings. Last year, he appeared in 28 games for Arizona (25 starts) and posted a 4.24 ERA and a 3.74 FIP in 150 2⁄3 innings.
Tuesday, May 6: David Peterson vs. Zac Gallen, 9:40 PM EDT on SNY
Peterson (2025): 32.1 IP, 30 K, 9 BB, 2 HR, 3.06 ERA, 2.93 FIP, 78 ERA-
Peterson picked up his second win of 2025 by pitching five innings of one-run ball against Arizona. He limited the D’Backs to fits hits while only striking out two, though he was in the strike zone all evening as he tossed 67% of his pitches (57 of 85) for strikes. After issues eight free passes over his first two starts, he has only walked one over his last four starts, which is a very positive sign. Over his last 16 starts dating back to August 5, he owns a 2.59 ERA, which is the third-best among qualified NL starters, behind only Michael King and Paul Skenes, while also pitching to the fourth-best FIP (2.85) among NL starters.
Gallen (2025): 38.1 IP, 43 K, 18 BB, 6 HR, 4.93 ERA, 4.35 FIP, 118 ERA-
Gallen looked like the Gallen of old his last time out against the Mets. In earning his second win of 2025, he tossed six innings and allowed one earned run on two hits while striking out eight and walking three. It was his second-best outing of the year, and it helped lower his ERA by over a half-run. The right-hander will look for similar results this time around against the same New York squad.
Wednesday, May 7: Kodai Senga vs. Merrill Kelly, 3:40 PM EDT on SNY
Senga (2025): 32,2 IP, 31 K, 12 BB, 1 HR, 1.38 ERA, 2.75 FIP, 35 ERA-
Senga really labored in his outing against Arizona as he suffered his second loss of 2025. While battling a stomach bug and taking an IV before the game, he battled through four innings of one-run ball. He struck out six but walked a season-high three while also surrendering five hits. It’s hard to look too deep into his start given his illness. Despite the brief hiccup, his 1.38 ERA remains second-best among NL starters with at least 30 IP this year, behind only Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Meanwhile, his 2.75 FIP currently ranks ninth.
Kelly (2025): 37.2 IP, 27 K, 12 BB, 5 HR, 4.06 ERA, 4.40 FIP, 97 ERA-
Kelly’s overall numbers are mostly skewed from his second start of the season, when he allowed nine earned runs over 3 2⁄3 innings to the Yankees. In his other six starts, he’s allowed nine runs (eight earned) over 34 innings, which is good for a 2.12 ERA and much more in line with what Arizona is used to seeing from Kelly. In his last outing against Philadelphia, he settled for a no decision, allowing one earned run on four hits over five innings.
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