Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 19

Data Skrive

Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies will take on Otto Lopez and the Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The Phillies are the favorite in this one, at -214, while the underdog Marlins have +177 odds to upset. Philadelphia is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 10 runs for the game (with -115 odds on the over and -105 odds to go under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Bryce Harper crushed a two-run homer to give the Philadelphia Phillies an early lead over the Miami Marlins.

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 1:05 p.m. ET
Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
How to watch on TV: NBCS-PH and FDSFL

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Phillies -214 +177 10 -115 -105 -1.5 -104 -116

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Phillies 55%, Marlins 45%

Phillies vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Phillies have won eight out of the 14 games, or 57.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
Philadelphia has played as favorites of -214 or more twice this season and won both games.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.2% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 16 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (37.5%) in those games.
This season, Miami has come away with a win one time in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +177 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 36.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

The Phillies have a 3-4 record across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Phillies and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
The Phillies have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 4-6 Runs Per Game 3.5 HR 8 ERA 4.91 K/9 9.1

Phillies Player Insights

Schwarber paces the Phillies with six home runs and 14 runs batted in.
Of all batters in baseball, Schwarber ranks fourth in home runs and 19th in RBI.
Schwarber takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .267 with six walks and two RBI.
Bryce Harper is batting .261 with two doubles, four home runs and 16 walks.
Harper ranks 30th in homers and 84th in RBI in the majors.
Nicholas Alexander Castellanos leads the Phillies with a .304 batting average.
Castellanos will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with a home run, two walks and three RBI.
Bryson Stott is hitting .271 with three doubles, a triple, a home run and seven walks.
Stott has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-6.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Marlins have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 4-6 Runs Per Game 4.6 HR 7 ERA 4.91 K/9 7.8

Marlins Player Insights

Lopez has five doubles, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .239.
In all of the big leagues, Lopez ranks 100th in home runs and 84th in RBI.
Lopez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with three doubles, four walks and two RBI.
Xavier Edwards has a club-best .333 batting average.
Edwards ranks 250th in homers and 128th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Matt Mervis paces the Marlins in home runs (six) and runs batted in (12).
Griffin Conine is hitting .298 with six doubles, a home run and seven walks.

Bryce Harper crushed a two-run homer to give the Philadelphia Phillies an early lead over the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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